changefailurerate.com

Change failure rate calculator: 7-day window

The short-window variant. Use it for weekly stand-up; switch to 30-day for board reporting.

OW
Oliver Wakefield-Smith
Founder, Digital Signet. Built siemcost / monitoringcost / itbudgetcalculator.
Updated 21 Jun 2026
Direct answer
A 7-day rolling change failure rate window is appropriate for teams shipping at least 5 deploys per day; below that, the sample is too small to draw week-over-week conclusionsGoogle Cloud CFR Guide2024. Pair with a 30-day trailing average to filter noise.
Window:
0%25%50%+
14.3%
37th percentile vs 2025 DORA distribution
3
Failed
26
Total deploys
across 7 day window
Annual engineering burn at this CFR
$186,960/yr
Customer-impact churn estimate: $447,720/yr at 35% customer-facing failure rate.

Where your team plots vs DORA cohort

CFR (y) by deploys per week (x). Elite teams sit bottom-right: high throughput, low failure.

0%10%20%30%40%010204060youdeploys per weekCFR %
elite cohort high medium low your team

Would a DORA vendor pay back at this CFR?

Assumes a 40% CFR reduction (the published Sleuth median, scaled). Quote-only vendors do not display a per-seat rate.

Free tier (up to 10 developers, basic DORA metrics)
Vendor / mo
$4,500
Burn saved / mo
$6,232
Payback
0.7 mo
Essentials $29/user/month (annual, includes 1,000 credits)
Vendor / mo
$5,220
Burn saved / mo
$6,232
Payback
0.8 mo
Quote-only (typical deals $30K-$100K+ ARR)
Quote-only vendor. We do not infer per-seat rates for this site; contact sales for a published number.
Faros CE: free self-hosted. Faros AI hosted: contact sales.
Quote-only vendor. We do not infer per-seat rates for this site; contact sales for a published number.
Quote-only (positioning to 500+ engineer orgs)
Quote-only vendor. We do not infer per-seat rates for this site; contact sales for a published number.
$20/developer/month (published)
Vendor / mo
$3,600
Burn saved / mo
$6,232
Payback
0.6 mo
Pluralsight Flow (Appfire)
pricing source
Quote-only (Appfire-managed)
Quote-only vendor. We do not infer per-seat rates for this site; contact sales for a published number.
Quote-only (per developer)
Quote-only vendor. We do not infer per-seat rates for this site; contact sales for a published number.

When 7 days fits

High-frequency deploy teams (continuous deployment, 5+ deploys per day) generate enough events inside a week to make the metric stable. The signal is mid-week regression catches and same-week incident remediation.

When to switch windows

If your week routinely shows fewer than ~25 deploys, the 7-day CFR will swing on single events. Move to a 30-day window for reporting and keep the 7-day chart as a tactical guideDORA 2024 Report2024. For quarterly board cadence use 90 days.

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